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Weekday Mornings doing Sports on the Mike Miller Show.
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As the play-by-play voice of Bowling Green Football and Mens Basketball on the Falcon Sports Radio Network.
Formerly served as the play-by-play voice of the Columbus Destroyers of the Arena Football League.
I have discovered a website that predicts the outcomes of all the high school football games in Ohio and uses them to rate a school's playoff berth probability.
This isn't like www.joeeitel.com, which figures out the math in the Harbin Points and uses the best and worst case scenarios to determine if you're still mathematically alive, or have clinched a playoff spot, or even an opening round home game.
The new (to me) site is Drew Pasteur's Fantastic 50. This site acutally uses statistical analysis to PROJECT/PREDICT winners of every game and then recalculates the playoff points for future weeks.
The site claims an above 80% success rate in picking winners. That's pretty good and makes it a good reference to consult.
With that said, the following area teams are already rated at 100% IN:
Delphos St. Johns
I'll thrown in St. Henry (99%), Minster (98%) and Arlington (96%) as locks.
Now, here's the situation for some others:
Elida. Their overall chances are pegged at 80%. Even if they only win one of their final two games (Celina, at Defiance) they've got a 78% chance. If they win both, they're in.
Liberty Benton. 79% chance to get in. 100% if they beat Leipsic and Van Buren. However, if they only win one, the chance drops to 60%.
Here are the other teams odds to get in if they win their last two games:
Waynesfield (vs. Patrick Henry, @Dayton Christian): 100%
Jefferson (@Ada, vs. Spencerville): 100%
Kenton (@Defiance, vs. Wapakoneta): 90%
Versailles (vs. Minster, @St. Henry): 90%
Spencerville (@Lehman, @Jefferson): 85%
Celina (@Elida, vs. Bath): 66%
So, to put a little more context to our broadcast game this Friday (Celina at Elida): If Celina loses, they'll effectively be eliminated. Even with a win over Bath, they're currently put at 5% at 7 wins.
If Elida wins it all but assures them of a playoff berth, assuming they beat Defiance, which they'll be heavily favored to do. Even with a loss, Elida's playoff chances at 7 wins is pegged at 78%.
The site is really cool, click on the link above and check it out!
By the way, from just a mathematical best/worst case analysis, Joe Eitel says Coldwater has already clinched an opening round home game while L.C.C., Leipsic and McComb are playoff bound.
Ottawa Glandorf, Delphos St. Johns, Ada and Minster control their own destiny.