Three weeks into the baseball season the Reds are 11-8 and in first place.
Even though it's an obvious statement, this team's fortunes have been dictated by one area of the game: clutch hitting.
In their wins, their "runners in scoring position" (RISP) batting average is .393. In the losses its .125.
While that is revelatory, it got me to thinking about things a little deeper.
Some people like to sight "left on base" as a key stat. It is, but only if you look at it in context. If you have a lot of base runners, it stands to reason that you'll have more left on base.
If you score three or four runs two men left on base is no big deal. Conversely, if you have multiple men left on but fail to score then the number is significant.
The addition of Shin-Soo Choo has, to this point, raised the Reds on-base percentage and created alot of "action" (as Dusty Baker would say) on the basepaths.
In the 174 innings in which the Reds have batted this season, they've only had 52 innings in which they went down in order. That's only 30%, which means on average they get at least one man on base in at least six innings a game.
The other telling number is that in their eight losses, the Reds have 15 times left multiple men on base without scoring. In their 11 wins they've only done that 12 times. In other words, in the clutch, they come through twice as much in wins as in losses.
While the sample size is only 1/10 of season it looks like this team will have plenty of scoring opportunities and their ultimate success will come down to clutch hitting.
To wrap it up, here's a tweet from Fox Sports Ohio's stat guy, Joel Luckhaupt:
Of the 7 players with the highest number of runners on base during their PAs in the NL, 5 are #Reds: Phillips, Bruce, Votto, Frazier, Cozart








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